Democrats Enter the Fall Armed With Something New: Hope

Democrats say the climate and tax bill will help win over a skeptical electorate in November, as Republicans try to galvanize their base against a progressive wish list.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #democratic-party, #elections-house-of-representatives, #elections-senate, #inflation-reduction-act-of-2022, #law-and-legislation, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion, #united-states-economy, #united-states-politics-and-government, #voting-and-voters

Anxious New Yorkers Worry Whether Eric Adams Is the Man for the Moment

City residents are concerned about violent crime, housing costs, school budget cuts and homelessness. Some believe that the mayor has not met the challenge.

#adams-eric-l, #crime-and-criminals, #education-k-12, #homeless-persons, #mayors, #new-york-city, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion

Democrats and Republicans Struggle to Forecast 2022 Midterms

People who have predicted election after election are scratching their heads about this one, as Election Day approaches.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #democratic-party, #elections-house-of-representatives, #elections-senate, #internal-sub-only-nl, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion, #republican-party, #united-states-politics-and-government

A Drop in Murders

Despite the grim headlines, 2022 is less violent so far than last year.

#crime-and-criminals, #deaths-fatalities, #internal-storyline-no, #murders-attempted-murders-and-homicides, #polls-and-public-opinion

Liz Cheney Risks Primary Over Jan. 6 and Trump Investigation

The Republican says her crusade to stop Donald J. Trump will continue — even if she loses her primary next week. Restoring a “very sick” G.O.P. will take years, she says, “if it can be healed.”

#cheney-dick, #cheney-liz, #cheyenne-wyo, #content-type-personal-profile, #hageman-harriet, #midterm-elections-2022, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2024, #republican-party, #united-states-politics-and-government, #wyoming

How Is Senator Ron Johnson Still Competitive?

He has a way of winning Wisconsin Senate races in spite of his weird behavior. Democrats see ousting him this fall as key to keeping the Senate.

#barnes-mandela, #elections-senate, #franklin-charles-pollster, #johnson-ron-1955, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion, #republican-party, #right-wing-extremism-and-alt-right, #rumors-and-misinformation, #wisconsin

Liz Cheney Is Ready to Lose. But She’s Not Ready to Quit.

The Republican says her crusade to stop Donald J. Trump will continue — even if she loses her primary next week. Restoring a “very sick” G.O.P. will take years, she says, “if it can be healed.”

#cheney-dick, #cheney-liz, #cheyenne-wyo, #content-type-personal-profile, #hageman-harriet, #midterm-elections-2022, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2024, #republican-party, #united-states-politics-and-government, #wyoming

The New Politics of Abortion

The pro-life movement needs to learn the art of the possible.

#abortion, #conservatism-us-politics, #democratic-party, #desantis-ron, #florida, #georgia, #hispanic-americans, #kemp-brian-p, #polls-and-public-opinion, #republican-party, #roe-v-wade-supreme-court-decision, #states-us, #trump-donald-j, #united-states

Kansas Result Suggests 4 Out of 5 States Would Back Abortion Rights in Similar Vote

The referendum in a reliably Republican state shows which party has the most energy on the issue.

#abortion, #constitutions, #kansas, #polls-and-public-opinion, #referendums, #states-us, #united-states-politics-and-government

American Democracy Is Not the Beacon It Once Was for Africa’s Elite

At a garden party I attended in a wealthy Nairobi suburb, the guests talked global politics and the upcoming presidential election in Kenya.

#africa, #democracy-theory-and-philosophy, #elections, #international-relations, #kagame-paul, #kenya, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion, #united-states-international-relations

In Compromise, the Climate Left May Be Vindicated

The Manchin-Schumer bill may well prove inadequate. It also represents a generational achievement.

#alternative-and-renewable-energy, #biden-joseph-r-jr, #carbon-dioxide, #democratic-party, #demonstrations-protests-and-riots, #global-warming, #green-new-deal, #greenhouse-gas-emissions, #internal-sub-only-nl, #manchin-joe-iii, #polls-and-public-opinion, #united-states, #united-states-economy

Eric Greitens Faces Ad Blitz and a Growing Threat to His Political Future

The former Missouri governor seemed to be cruising in his comeback bid for Senate — until a late barrage of advertising called attention to his many scandals.

#elections-senate, #greitens-eric, #greitens-sheena, #midterm-elections-2022, #missouri, #polls-and-public-opinion, #primaries-and-caucuses, #republican-party, #schmitt-eric-1975, #united-states-politics-and-government

Red and Blue America Will Never Be the Same

There are long-term trends for both parties to be happy about.

#democratic-party, #house-of-representatives, #minorities, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2020, #presidential-election-of-2024, #republican-party, #united-states-politics-and-government, #whites

Biden Insists There’s No Recession as He Confronts Latest Economic Risk

Officials have tried to ditch a shorthand definition for what constitutes a recession and reassure skeptical voters about the U.S. economy.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #gross-domestic-product, #inflation-economics, #interest-rates, #international-monetary-fund, #midterm-elections-2022, #national-bureau-of-economic-research, #national-economic-council-us, #polls-and-public-opinion, #recession-and-depression, #united-states, #united-states-economy, #wages-and-salaries

How Can Democrats Persuade Voters They’re Not a Party of Rich Elites?

That big question was the focus of a Tuesday gathering of progressive lawmakers, activists and scholars.

#democratic-party, #internal-sub-only-nl, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion, #united-states-politics-and-government

Few Parents Intend to Have Very Young Children Vaccinated Against Covid

In a new survey, 43 percent of parents of children ages 6 months through 4 years said they would refuse the shots for their kids. An additional 27 percent were uncertain.

#children-and-childhood, #coronavirus-2019-ncov, #kaiser-family-foundation, #parenting, #polls-and-public-opinion, #vaccination-and-immunization, #your-feed-healthcare, #your-feed-science

After Recent Turmoil, the Race for Texas Governor Is Tightening

A series of tragedies and challenges have soured the mood of Texans and made the governor’s race perhaps the most competitive since the 1990s.

#abbott-gregory-w-1957, #elections, #midterm-elections-2022, #orourke-beto, #polls-and-public-opinion, #texas

The Gender Gap Obscures More About Politics Than It Reveals

New research suggests that how you think about gender roles matters more for your political allegiance than your gender.

#democratic-party, #men-and-boys, #polls-and-public-opinion, #republican-party, #united-states-politics-and-government, #women-and-girls, #womens-rights

Here’s a secret about your neighbors

Many of us avoid talking about climate change because it feels so controversial. In fact, research shows that your neighbors are probably thinking about it, too.

#conversation, #global-warming, #greenhouse-gas-emissions, #internal-storyline-no, #internal-sub-only-nl, #polls-and-public-opinion, #research

2022 Midterms Poll: Roundup of Key Insights

A summary of the findings includes deep dissatisfaction among voters and potential fertile ground for new candidates in 2024.

#abortion, #biden-joseph-r-jr, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2024, #trump-donald-j, #voting-and-voters, #youth

Voters See a Bad Economy, Even if They’re Doing OK

A New York Times/Siena poll shows remarkable pessimism despite the labor market’s resilience. That could be costly for the Democrats, and the economy.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #consumer-behavior, #democratic-party, #inflation-economics, #polls-and-public-opinion, #prices-fares-fees-and-rates, #recession-and-depression, #republican-party, #united-states-economy, #united-states-politics-and-government

Americans Are Hungry for Change, So Get Ready for More Turmoil

For the White House in 2024, think outsider and unconventional.

#democratic-party, #hispanic-americans, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2024, #republican-party, #united-states, #united-states-politics-and-government, #voting-and-voters, #whites

Young Voters Are Fed Up With Their (Much) Older Leaders

Led by politicians often three times their age, many voters under 30 are hungry for new blood and new ideas.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #democratic-party, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2024, #republican-party, #trump-donald-j, #united-states-politics-and-government, #voting-and-voters, #youth

Many American Voters Want to Upend System, Poll Finds

Desire for structural changes cuts across both parties, a Times/Siena College poll found, but for starkly different reasons. Even Democrats now question if the government is a force for good.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #democratic-party, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2020, #project-democracy, #republican-party, #rumors-and-misinformation, #storming-of-the-us-capitol-jan-2021, #trump-donald-j, #united-states-politics-and-government, #voting-and-voters

Could the Midterms Be Tighter Than Expected?

A new New York Times poll suggests a surprisingly close race for the control of Congress.

#elections-house-of-representatives, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion

Poll Shows Tight Race for Control of Congress as Class Divide Widens

Nonwhite and working-class Democrats worry more about the economy, while white college graduates focus more on cultural issues like abortion rights and guns.

#abortion, #democratic-party, #elections-house-of-representatives, #elections-senate, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2020, #race-and-ethnicity, #roe-v-wade-supreme-court-decision

Trump Loses Support of Half of GOP Voters, Poll Finds

Far from consolidating his support, the former president appears weakened in his party, especially with younger and college-educated Republicans. Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida is the most popular alternative.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #desantis-ron, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2020, #presidential-election-of-2024, #republican-party, #trump-donald-j, #united-states-politics-and-government, #voting-and-voters

Democrats Should Declare a Day of Abortion Rights

Declaring a national day for abortion rights would send a strong message.

#abortion, #biden-joseph-r-jr, #demonstrations-protests-and-riots, #dobbs-v-jackson-womens-health-organization-supreme-court-decision, #internal-sub-only-nl, #polls-and-public-opinion

Dueling Weaknesses

The Times has released its first poll of the 2022 midterm cycle.

#internal-storyline-no, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2020, #presidential-election-of-2024

Times/Siena Poll: Biden’s Approval Hits 33 Percent; Democrats Want 2024 Options

With the country gripped by a pervasive sense of pessimism, the president is hemorrhaging support.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #democratic-party, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2024, #united-states-economy, #united-states-politics-and-government, #voting-and-voters

Putting the Public Back in Public Service

A group of academics and lawmakers, citing a new study that found voters feel shut out of congressional deliberations, is pushing to engage citizens more directly in the work of Congress.

#malinowski-tom, #polls-and-public-opinion, #raskin-jamie-1962, #united-states-politics-and-government

A Bluer Picture

The midterm campaigns for the House and the Senate are shaping up quite differently.

#democratic-party, #elections-house-of-representatives, #elections-senate, #house-of-representatives, #internal-storyline-no, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion, #republican-party, #senate

His Union Went on Strike. His Interviews Went Viral.

At a time of rampant inflation and wage stagnation, Mick Lynch, the force behind Britain’s largest railway strikes in three decades, has found success that has surprised even his colleagues.

#content-type-personal-profile, #great-britain, #johnson-boris, #lynch-mick-1962, #national-union-of-rail-maritime-and-transport-workers-rmt, #organized-labor, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion, #railroads, #strikes

Biden Calls Supreme Court Ruling on Roe v. Wade ‘Outrageous Behavior’

The president also said for the first time that he supported ending the filibuster to codify the right to abortion.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #demonstrations-protests-and-riots, #hutchinson-cassidy, #meadows-mark-r-1959, #polls-and-public-opinion, #project-democracy, #secret-service, #supreme-court-us, #trump-donald-j, #voter-fraud-election-fraud

America’s Death Penalty Sentences Are Slowly Grinding to a Halt

The numbers of executions and death sentences are falling.

#capital-punishment, #civil-rights-and-liberties, #false-arrests-convictions-and-imprisonments, #law-and-legislation, #minorities, #naacp-legal-defense-fund, #polls-and-public-opinion, #sentences-criminal, #state-legislatures, #suits-and-litigation-civil, #supreme-court-us, #united-states

Abroad, Jacinda Ardern Is a Star. At Home, She’s Losing Her Shine.

New problems in New Zealand like inflation and gang violence and old problems like unaffordable housing have sent her polling numbers to new lows as an election looms next year.

#ardern-jacinda, #elections, #labour-party-new-zealand, #new-zealand, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion

The Politicization of the Supreme Court Is Eroding Its Legitimacy

That’s a scary situation for American democracy.

#dobbs-v-jackson-womens-health-organization-supreme-court-decision, #internal-sub-only-nl, #polls-and-public-opinion, #supreme-court-us

How Biden’s Approval Rating Got So Low

Heading into the midterms, Democratic candidates are contending with the unpopularity of their party’s leader.

#audio-neutral-informative, #biden-joseph-r-jr, #democratic-party, #elections-house-of-representatives, #elections-senate, #polls-and-public-opinion, #united-states, #united-states-politics-and-government

The Supreme Court, Public Opinion and the Fate of Roe

According to the conventional wisdom, the court rarely strays too far from the popular will. That view will face a reckoning in the coming weeks.

#polls-and-public-opinion, #supreme-court-us, #united-states-politics-and-government

Jan. 6 Hearings Focus on Fox News Call That Made Trump’s Loss Clear

At Fox News, there was little drama over the decision to project Joseph R. Biden the winner of Arizona. But the relationship between Trump and the network was never the same.

#associated-press, #fox-news-channel, #media, #miller-jason-1975, #mishkin-arnon, #news-and-news-media, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2020, #republican-party, #sammon-bill-1959, #stirewalt-chris, #storming-of-the-us-capitol-jan-2021, #trump-donald-j, #united-states-politics-and-government

The Politics of Abortion

Polls show that support for abortion rights is rising. Will that help Democrats this fall?

#abortion, #demonstrations-protests-and-riots, #internal-storyline-no, #law-and-legislation, #polls-and-public-opinion, #roe-v-wade-supreme-court-decision

Should Biden Run in 2024? Democratic Whispers of ‘No’ Start to Rise.

In interviews, dozens of frustrated Democratic officials, members of Congress and voters expressed doubts about the president’s ability to rescue his reeling party and take the fight to Republicans.

#biden-joseph-r-jr, #democratic-party, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2024, #united-states-politics-and-government, #voting-and-voters

Why Polling on Gun Control Gets It Wrong

In surveys, voters say they want gun safety measures. Their votes follow a different pattern.

#audio-neutral-informative, #gun-control, #polls-and-public-opinion, #united-states

Democrats Can Win This Fall if They Make One Key Promise

To make the 2022 elections a referendum on Roe, Democrats have to put protecting Roe and abortion rights on the table.

#abortion, #democratic-party, #filibusters-and-debate-curbs, #house-of-representatives, #law-and-legislation, #manchin-joe-iii, #midterm-elections-2022, #polls-and-public-opinion, #roe-v-wade-supreme-court-decision, #senate, #sinema-kyrsten, #united-states-politics-and-government

Voters Say They Want Gun Control. Their Votes Say Something Different.

Broad public support on the issue may not be as broad as polling shows or as Democrats hope.

#firearms, #gun-control, #law-and-legislation, #polls-and-public-opinion, #referendums, #united-states-politics-and-government, #voting-and-voters

We Are Political Animals. So How Much Do Genes Matter?

They’re not everything, but they’re not nothing either.

#conservatism-us-politics, #genetics-and-heredity, #liberalism-us-politics, #polls-and-public-opinion, #united-states-politics-and-government

Donald Trump Is Desperate for Vindication in Georgia

If the former president continues his crusade, he will be endangering not only the G.O.P.’s chances in November but also his own political future.

#conservatism-us-politics, #georgia, #kemp-brian-p, #perdue-david-a-jr, #politics-and-government, #polls-and-public-opinion, #presidential-election-of-2020, #primaries-and-caucuses, #republican-party, #trump-donald-j, #voter-fraud-election-fraud

Amber Heard, Johnny Depp and Why We Love to See Women Humiliated

Whatever you think of the actress, what we are watching is a good old-fashioned public pillorying — only difference is that memes have replaced the stones.

#metoo-movement, #celebrities, #depp-johnny, #domestic-violence, #heard-amber, #libel-and-slander, #polls-and-public-opinion, #sex-crimes, #social-media

America Has a Scorn Problem

Too many of us think people with different opinions are not just wrong, but bad.

#discrimination, #ethics-personal, #internal-sub-only-nl, #polls-and-public-opinion

Fox News Hosts Splinter as Chaotic Pennsylvania Primaries Heat Up

The rise of Kathy Barnette in the state’s G.O.P. Senate race has divided the network’s stars, with some backing her and others going on the attack to help a rival, Dr. Mehmet Oz.

#barnette-kathy-1971, #elections-governors, #elections-senate, #endorsements, #fox-news-channel, #internal-sub-only-nl, #midterm-elections-2022, #news-and-news-media, #oz-mehmet-c, #pennsylvania, #polls-and-public-opinion, #primaries-and-caucuses, #republican-party, #trump-donald-j, #united-states-politics-and-government